Sunday, December 14, 2014

ADX - Simple tool to make money!


The average directional movement index (ADX) was developed in 1978 by J. Welles Wilder as an indicator of trend strength in a series of prices of a financial instrument.
 ADX has become a widely used indicator for technical analysts, and is provided as a standard in collections of indicators offered by various trading platforms.

The ADX is a combination of two other indicators developed by Wilder, the positive directional indicator (abbreviated +DI) and negative directional indicator (-DI).
The ADX combines them and smooths the result with an exponential moving average.

ADX is a lagging indicator that measures the trend strength without regard to trend direction.

ADX is formed by combining two other indicators which are positive directional indicator (abbreviated +DI) and negative directional indicator (abbreviated -DI).

Positive Directional Indicator is calculated based on differences between current high and previous high over recent trading periods. Similarly Negative Directional 

Indicator is calculated based on differences between current low and previous low over certain recent trading periods.

ADX will range between 0 and 100 and is usually calculated based on 14 time-periods. Usually 20 is used as the key level for analysing ADX.

Since ADX enables one to quantify trend strength, it helps to identify the strongest trends as well as range conditions. So, appropriate trading strategy can be used. In trending conditions, one can enter on pullbacks and trade in direction of the trend where as in range conditions, one can trade on reversal either at support (bullish) or at resistance (bearish). In range conditions, another strategy can be to combine ADX with RSI (overbought and oversold) signal.

Different researchers have come out with various ways to interpret ADX. Some of the popular ones are as below:

1
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ADX below 20 indicates absence of trend and similarly ADX above 25 indicated strong trend. So, avoid trending strategies when ADX is below 20 as the market will be range bound and price action happens sideways.

2
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 Increasing ADX values above 20, indicates increasing trend strength, thereby uptrending ADX confirms either bullish or bearish trends supporting decision to either buy or sell.

3
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ADX crossing over 25 from below especially after being below for 30 bars or so, indicates that price has broken out of range with sufficient strength and that now trend trading strategies can be profitably deployed.

4
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ADX above 50 indicates extremely strong trend.

5
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ADX value pulling back below 40 indicates trend getting exhausted and likely to reverse.

6
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ADX crossing below 20 from above especially after being above for 30 bars or so, indicates that market is likely to be rangebound and accordingly risk management strategies can be put in place to handle change in trend momentum.

7
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Trend is deemed to be uptrend when (+DI) line is above (-DI) line and ADX is above 20.

8
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Trend is deemed to be downtrend when (+DI) line is below (-DI) line and ADX is above 20.

9
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When ADX is above 20 and +DI line crosses over -DI line, buy signal is indicated.

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When ADX is above 20 and -DI line crosses over +DI line, sell signal is indicated.

ADX indicator scale

If ADX is between 0 and 25 then the stock is in a trading range. It is likely just chopping around sideways. Avoid these weak, pathetic stocks!

Once ADX gets above 25 then you will begin to see the beginning of a trend. Big moves (up or down) tend to happen when ADX is right around this number.

When the ADX indicator gets above 30 then you are staring at a stock that is in a strong trend! These are the stocks that you want to be trading!

You won't see very many stocks with the ADX above 50. Once it gets that high, you start to see trends coming to an end and trading ranges developing again.

Applied ADX on live charts with 100% Success Rate :- 

1) Nifty :- ​



​2) Infy :-​



3) Reliance :-


4) Maruti :-



5) ITC :- 




Whether to follow it or not, it is completely your choice. To me this looks simple and easy to interpret and make money. Happy Trading :)